بلومبرگ: کاهش عرضه پول ایالات متحده باعث توقف رشد قیمت بیت کوین خواهد شد
با وجود رشد حدود ۷۰درصدی قیمت بیت کوین در سهماهه اول سال ۲۰۲۳، همه تحلیلگران باورند ندارد که این ارز دیجیتال میتواند به روند صعودی خود ادامه دهد یا حتی سطح کنونی خود در محدوده ۳۰٬۰۰۰ دلاری را حفظ کند. انتظار رشد قیمت بیت کوین، غیرمنطقی است به گزارش کوین تلگراف، بلومبرگ اینتلیجنس در آخرین […]
با وجود رشد حدود ۷۰درصدی قیمت بیت کوین در سهماهه اول سال ۲۰۲۳، همه تحلیلگران باورند ندارد که این ارز دیجیتال میتواند به روند صعودی خود ادامه دهد یا حتی سطح کنونی خود در محدوده ۳۰٬۰۰۰ دلاری را حفظ کند.
انتظار رشد قیمت بیت کوین، غیرمنطقی است
به گزارش کوین تلگراف، بلومبرگ اینتلیجنس در آخرین گزارش خود با بررسی فضای اقتصاد کلان به ارتباط نزدیک میان عملکرد ارزهای دیجیتال و سطح نقدینگی بانک مرکزی اشاره میکند.
با خروج نقدینگی توسط بانکها از اقتصاد در زمان تورم، قیمت داراییهای پرریسک از جمله ارزهای دیجیتال کاهش مییابد. شروع سیاستهای پولی انقباضی فدرال رزرو ایالات متحده نیز همزمان با رسیدن قیمت بیت کوین به بالاترین سطح خود در اواخر سال ۲۰۲۱ آغاز شد.
با وجود بحران بانکی اخیر، بلومبرگ خاطرنشان کرد که کاهش عرضه پول M۲ سکهها و اسکناسهای در اختیار مردم که میتوانند به پول نقد تبدیل شوند) و سپردههای بانکی به این معنی است که نقدینگی همچنان رو به کاهش است.
مایک مکگلون (Mike McGlone)، استراتژیست ارشد بلومبرگ اینتلیجنس در بخشی از این تحلیل مینویسد:
ارزش داراییهای پرریسک معمولاً با افزایش نقدینگی یا کاهش عرضه پول در ایالات متحده دچار نوسان میشود و حجم سپردههای بانکی نیز نشاندهنده عاملی بازدارنده در رشد قیمت ارزهای دیجیتال است.
او خاطرنشان کرد:
با کاهش ۲درصدی حجم پول و ارزش سپردههای بانکهای تجاری نسبت به سال گذشته (بیشترین کاهش از سال ۱۹۵۹)، غیرمنطقی است که انتظار داشتیم باشیم بازار سهام، نفت خام، مس و شاخص بلومبرگ گلکسی کرپیتو (BGCI) بتوانند رشد اخیر خود را حفظ کنند.
این نگرانیهای در زمانی مطرح میشود که بیت کوین برای تبدیل مقاومت تاریخی خود به سطح حمایت در تلاش است و به نظر میرسد که خریداران قادر به ایجاد تغییر بزرگی در بازار نیستند.
در بحث نقدینگی، دیگر تحلیلگران پیش از این خاطرنشان کردند که ارزهای دیجیتال اکنون به اقدامات بانکهای مرکزی دیگر، غیر از فدرال رزرو نیز واکنش نشان میدهند. شایان ذکر است که چین و ژاپن در سال جاری، نقدینگی به بازار تزریق کردند.
در همین حال، بلومبرگ میگوید که سوال اصلی در آغاز ماه آوریل (فروردین) این است که چه چیزی روند کاهش نقدینگی را متوقف میکند؟
بیشتر بانکهای مرکزی که همچنان سیاستهای پولی انقباضی دارند که میتواند به معنی کاهش شاخص بلومبرگ گلکسی کرپیتو باشد. برداشت ما این است که بیت کوین درگیر عوامل بازدارنده رشد خواهد بود، اما در نهایت معاملات آن شبیه به طلا و اوراق قرضه خزانهداری خواهد شد.
سقوط شاخص دلار و احتمال رشد قیمت بیت کوین
بر اساس دادههای بازار، بیت کوین هماکنون در محدوده ۲۷٬۹۰۰ دلاری در حال معامله است.
در اتفاقی (کوتاهمدت) مثبت برای داراییهای پررسیک، شاخص دلار آمریکا (DXY) بار دیگر به زیر سطح ۱۰۲ سقوط کرد.
حسابکاربری محبوب کُلد بِلاد شیلر (Cold Blooded Shiller) در توییتر با بررسی این وضعیت، موقتاً نسبت به افزایش قیمت بیت کوین اظهار خوشبینی کرد.
با این حال، جاستین بنت (Justin Bennett) با اشاره به یک سطح حمایتی، پیشبینی کرد که شاخص دلار در آینده به سطح پیشین خود باز خواهد گشت.
او هشدار داد:
تا زمانی که دلار هنوز ذخیره ارزی جهانی است، تمام شعارهایی که میگویند «دلار مرده است» بیمعنا خواهند بود.
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Robinson, Matt; Hurtado, Patricia (5 July 2018).
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American than their forebears, and spoke English.
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A nice weapon is either the Stoeger 12-gauge Coach Gun (which is a aspect-by-facet barrel shotgun) or the Stoeger 12-Gauge Double Protection Shotgun (which is available side-by-side or over-below.) This mannequin has the added options which you can later add a small flashlight below the barrels or a special sight on the top if you discover that helps you goal better (The older I get the extra assist I want with an aim point.) See how each style feels to you, how you look down the highest of the barrel on the front site and the way the break-action works to load/reload it.
Town can also be a serious vacationer vacation spot, claiming a few of the highest heritage inns in India.
State epidemiologist Dr. Patricia Quinlisk mentioned Iowa is seeing giant mosquito numbers this summer time.
Mossberg jumps ahead of Remington in magazine capacity.
It’s such a livable metropolis and it’s all so easily accessible either by foot or one in all the numerous tour-buses that roam around city.
Comfy furnishings is likely to be grouped near the living room; the barbecue may be positioned off the kitchen and never far from the dining desk and chairs.
You want guests to face up and take discover.
Prior written approval is required and a pet payment will apply.
There are plans for a big challenge in my area, and I’m not so sure it is the best way to address the state of affairs we are facing.
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On Feb. 14, Individuals alternate tokens of love like chocolate, cards and intimate apparel.
Human-pushed deforestation of the Amazon rainforest has been a major concern for decades as the rainforest’s impression on the worldwide climate has been measured.
Probably the greatest issues many fall activities in Wisconsin is that they don’t have to put a dent in your wallet so that you can enjoy them.
The men’s crew rode the A-D Ultima, while the ladies’s crew had their Ultimas repainted in Puch inexperienced, with Puch decaling (in Europe, all factory riders rode the Workforce bike in Puch green, with Puch decaling.
She regarded back meditatively upon her previous life.
Steaming veggies can take 1/3rd the power of boiling, for those who only steam the minimal amount of water required.
In the summer of 2000, two Cuban docs working in Zimbabwe denounced the Cuban government and declared their intention to defect to Canada.
You can select the weather of your nation and make it in Italian fashion or vice versa.
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Permit the glue to dry completely and then have fun enjoying together with your new puppet!
Danish sweets, particularly kringle, have made the town famous.
Jannene, Jeramey (April 6, 2020).
Schumacher, working on Bridgestone tyres, received the following two races.
Therefore Father Hennepin, a Recollect friar, with two companions explored the Higher Mississippi and had been taken prisoners by the Sioux, ultimately to be rescued, however, by Duluth , who with them crossed by the route of the Wisconsin and Fox Rivers to De Pere, and in 1683 defended that mission in opposition to an attack by the Iroquois.
Geo talks of a time when he rejected the Thanksgiving vacation fully.
The Council of People’s Commissars is the supreme directing organism of the Red workers’ and peasants’ army.
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